About Me

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I am a 2021 graduate from Saint Vincent College where I majored in Business Management and minored in Data Analytics, Marketing, and Economics. I was a 4-year member of the Varsity Baseball Team playing as a Pitcher and Infielder. I am currently working as a Risk Data Analyst for Alliant Insurance Services in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. My passion and long term goal has always been working professionally in baseball. I have a deep understanding of the game of baseball because of my time as a two-way player at the college level, my time as a Baseball Operations Intern with the Washington Wild Things in 2020, and my time as a Coach for the Guardian Angels 12U/15U Baseball Team stationed in Canonsburg, PA. I am confident in my current abilities but am open to listening to and learning alternative perspectives on different baseball and analytics topics. I have created this blog to help get my ideas out there and to help showcase my knowledge of professional baseball.

Monday, November 11, 2024

2024-25 MLB Free Agent Predictions


UPDATE AS OFFSEASON GOES ON:

  • Correct Team prediction will be highlighted in Green, Incorrect Team prediction will be highlighted in Red.
  • +/- 1 year of actual length of contract will be highlighted in Green. +/- of 2 or more years of actual length will be highlighted in Red.
  • Club/Player/Vesting Options will not be included in my predicted contract length.
  • +/- $5M or less in Average Annual Value will be highlighted in Green. +/- $5.01M or more will be highlighted in Red.
  • The Buyout amount for Team Options will be included in the Average Annual Value. I will be using the Luxury Tax salary.


Projected Available Free Agents (after Club Options/Player Options/Mutual Options)

Top 25

1. Juan Soto, OF, New York Yankees
Prediction: New York Yankees, 14 years/$630M
Actual: 


2. Corbin Burnes, RHP, Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: New York Mets, 6 years/$186M
Actual: 


3. Alex Bregman, 3B, Houston Astros
Prediction: Houston Astros, 6 years/$180M
Actual: 


4. Roki Sasaki, RHP, Japan
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers, Standard Minor League Contract
Actual: 


5. Max Fried, LHP, Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Chicago Cubs, 7 years/$182M
Actual: 


6. Blake Snell, LHP, San Francisco Giants
Prediction: Boston Red Sox, 6 years/$174M
Actual: 


7. Blake Treinen, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Boston Red Sox, 2 years/$24M
Actual: 


8. Pete Alonso, 1B, New York Mets
Prediction: New York Mets, 6 years/$150M
Actual: 


9. Willy Adames, SS, Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: San Francisco Giants, 6 years/$144M
Actual: 


10. Shane Bieber, RHP, Cleveland Guardians
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles, 1 year/$10M
Actual: 

11. Teoscar Hernandez, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies, 2 years/$40M
Actual: 

12. Anthony Santander, OF, Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays, 3 years/$60M
Actual:

13. Jeff Hoffman, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: San Francisco Giants, 4 years/$44M
Actual: 

14. Gleyber Torres, 2B, New York Yankees
Prediction: Kansas City Royals, 2 years/$30M
Actual: 

15. Tanner Scott, LHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: New York Yankees, 4 years/$52M
Actual: 

16. Jurickson Profar, OF, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels, 3 years/$54M
Actual: 

17. Nathan Eovalid, RHP, Texas Rangers
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles, 2 years/$45M
Actual: 

18. Luis Severino, RHP, New York Mets
Prediction: Washington Nationals, 3 years/$57M
Actual: 

19. Jack Flaherty, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Atlanta Braves, 4 years/$88M
Actual: 

20. Ha-Seong Kim, SS, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers, 3 years/$33M
Actual: 

21. Sean Manaea, LHP, New York Mets
Prediction: Minnesota Twins, 3 years/$57M
Actual: 

22. Kirby Yates, RHP, Texas Rangers
Prediction: San Diego Padres, 1 year/$12M
Actual: 

23. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, St. Louis Cardinals
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks, 1 year/$14M
Actual: 

24. Max Scherzer, RHP, Texas Rangers
Prediction: Detroit Tigers, 1 year/$12.5M
Actual: 

25. Walker Buehler, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Cleveland Guardians, 1 year/$15M
Actual: 

Tuesday, October 15, 2024

Pittsburgh Pirates Offseason Plan for 2025 Season

 


    The Pitsburgh Pirates have a golden opportunity to compete for the next few years because of the fantastic young rotation they have, the decent pool of prospects in the system, and a relatively weak NL Central. The Pirates ownership does not do the fans any favors with the extremely low yearly payroll, but the team can position themselves to contend in 2025 with a coaching staff overhaul and some roster adjustments. Paul Skenes won't be around forever and will likely be on another team by the year 2029. With him and Jared Jones on near league minimum salaries for 2025, the time is now to put some extra money into the team. 

    During the run of postseason appearances from 2013-15, the Pirates' payroll peaked at roughly $100M, so that is what I set the budget at for 2025. Below you will see my offseason plan of what I would do if I was the GM of the Pittsburgh Pirates.


Coaching Staff Changes

Manager Derek Shelton is fired
Bench Coach Don Kelly is retained
Assistant Hitting Coach Christian Marrero is fired
Pitching Coach Oscar Marin is fired
First Base Coach Tarrik Brock is fired
Third Base Coach Mike Rabelo is fired

Manager Joe Girardi is hired
    The consensus about Girardi when he managed the Yankees was that he was an intense manager and treated every game with great importance. That can be bad thing and exhausting for some teams, but for this Pirates team, I think they need a little bit of that. Derek Shelton consistently benched hot hitters because it was their scheduled "rest day" and did not seem to put winning above everything else. To be fair, he was hired to help a losing ball club get through a rebuild and give young players a chance to play. The page has to be turned this year, and Girardi will help build a culture that prioritizes winning.

Hitting Coach Sean Casey is hired
    Sean Casey's philosophy matches up perfectly with what the Pirates need. The Pirates ranked 24th in the majors in Batting Average so they are in need of a coach who preaches using the entire field and shortening up and putting the ball in play with two strikes. Casey is also a former Pirate and from Pittsburgh so he is a natural fit for the Pirates hitting coach position.

Pitching Coach Jake Peavy hired as pitching coach
    When Peavy pitched from 2002 to 2016, he relied on 5 main pitches (Cutter, 4-Seam Fastball, Sinker, Curveball, and Slider) so that should help with potentially adding a pitch to the repertoires of the Pirates' pitchers. Peavy has been an analyst with MLB Network so he has stayed involved with the game after his retirement.

First Base Coach/Assistant Hitting Coach Michael Young is hired
    Michael Young was a career .300 hitter playing for the Texas Rangers for most of his career, and had the hitting approach similar to what Sean Casey preaches now, making him a good fit to add onto the staff.

Third Base Coach Mike Napoli is hired
    Napoli was the first base coach for the Cubs in 2024 but was let go a few days ago. He is a good fit for the Pirates because he will give a power hitting perspective to go along with Casey and Young.


2025 Coaching Staff
Manager: Joe Girardi
Bench Coach: Don Kelly
Hitting Coach: Sean Casey
Pitching Coach: Jake Peavy
First Base Coach/Assistant Hitting Coach: Michael Young
Third Base Coach: Mike Napoli


Players to Non-Tender/DFA/Let Walk/Trade for Cash/Trade for Prospect

LHP Jalen Beeks (FA)
Beeks had a 4.50 ERA with the Rockies and Pirates in 2024. There are better options available to help fill out the Pirates new look bullpen for 2025.

LHP Ryan Borucki (FA)
Injuries slowed Borucki down, and there are healthier and more reliable options available via trade and free agency.

C Yasmani Grandal (FA)
Joey Bart has emerged as a legitimate starting catcher, and the Pirates have Jason Delay and a healthy Endy Rodriguez in the system.

RHP Daulton Jefferies (DFA/Trade)
Jefferies battled an elbow injury in 2024 and has a career 6.59 ERA.

1B Connor Joe (Trade)
Joe went ice cold down the stretch so the Pirates should seek more consistency.

RHP Isaac Mattson (DFA/Trade)
Mattson has been solid in the minors, but has struggled in limited time in the majors, and his roster spot was needed to add new free agents.

LHP Joey Wentz (DFA/Trade)
Wentz has an ERA north of 5.00 in his career, and there are more reliable left-handed options available.

SS Alika Williams (DFA/Trade)
Williams is a good defender but has not hit enough to justify being on the 40-man.

RHP Ben Heller
RHP Johan Oviedo
RHP Dennis Santana
RHP Hunter Stratton
With the Pirates transitioning to a 6-man rotation and wanting to dramatically improve the bullpen, these right handers are expendable in a trade.

Club Option Decisions

LHP Marco Gonzales (Declined, $0 Buyout)
The $15M Option has to be declined after Gonzales struggled to a 4.55 ERA in 2024.

Players with Contracts to pencil in on Opening Day 40-Man Roster


C Joey Bart (First Year Arbitration Salary of $1.75M)
RHP David Bednar (Second Year Arbitration Salary of $5.25M)
CF Oneil Cruz (Renewed for 1 year/$760K)
LHP Bailey Falter (First Year Arbitration Salary of $2.5M)
RHP Colin Holderman (First Year Arbitration Salary of $1.35M)
RHP Jared Jones (Renewed for 1 year/$760K)
RHP Mitch Keller (Already signed, Luxury Tax Amount of $15.4M)
SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Already signed, Luxury Tax Amount of $6.283M)
RHP Luis Ortiz (Renewed for 1 year/$760K)
IF Liover Peguero (Renewed for 1 year/$760K
LF Bryan Reynolds (Already signed, Luxury Tax Amount of $13.34375M)
C Endy Rodriguez (Renewed for 1 year/$760K)
RHP Paul Skenes (Renewed for 1 year/$760K)
UTL Jared Triolo (Renewed for 1 year/$760K)

Free Agent Signings and Extensions

RHP Trevor Bauer signed to 1 year/$760K contract.
Bauer will slot in as the number 4 starter in his return to the majors. He stated he would be willing to play for league minimum.

LHP Matthew Boyd signed to 1 year/$3.5M contract
With all the power right handers set to be in the rotation, it was important for the Pirates to add a lefty in the middle. Boyd has struggled to stay healthy, and being the veteran in the middle of a 6-man rotation should make this an attractive free agent spot for him.

LHP Aroldis Chapman resigned to 1 year/$6M contract.
Chapman showed signs of finally slowing down, but his final numbers and strikeout numbers were impressive, and he is brought back to be the 7-inning guy.

RHP Kendall Graveman signed to 1 year/$4M contract
Graveman missed the entire 2024 season because of shoulder surgery, but he had a 3.12 ERA in 68 games in 2023. Graveman has the chance to pitch in high leverage situations again to build his value up before he hits free agency again next year. From the Pirates perspective he has experience closing and pitching as a set-up man, so his versatility is valued.

1B Paul Goldschmidt signed to 1 year/$11.5M contract
The Pirates need a player who takes consistent professional at bats. Signing Goldschmidt to a one year is a low risk and potential high reward deal.

2B Jose Iglesias signed to 1 year/$3M contract
Iglesias batted .337 in 2024 which would help raise the team batting average. Iglesias also has the capability to play SS and 3B if needed.

OF Andrew McCutchen resigned to 1 year/$3M contract
McCutchen is brought back in what will likely be his final year. He will serve mostly as a fourth outfielder.

3B Gio Urshela signed to 1 year/$3M contract
Signing Urshela should be an upgrade offensively from what the Pirates got from Ke'Bryan Hayes last year. Urshela has always been a great defender and is capable of playing multiple infield spots.

Trades to Make

2B Nick Gonzales, 3B Ke'Bryan Hayes, C Henry Davis, SS Mitch Jebb, OF Tony Blanco Jr., OF Lonnie White Jr., LHP Hunter Barco, RHP Zander Mueth, & 2B Nick Yorke traded to the Oakland Athletics for RHP Mason Miller and DH Brent Rooker.

    The Pirates would have to give up a ton of volume in this trade because they are not giving up any Top 100 Prospects.

2B Termarr Johnson, LHP Anthony Solometo, RF Bryan De La Cruz, RHP Kyle Nicolas, & SS Tsung-Che Cheng traded to the Chicago White Sox for OF Luis Robert Jr. & Cash


The justification in giving up so many prospects was because the Pirates need to be very aggressive in the next few years as their contention window is right now. The young rotation will hit arbitration soon and become more expensive, meaning less money can be put into the offense. Without an improved offense, the Pirates will see a repeat of the 2024 season. Also, I could justify giving up nine players in the two moves because the top prospects were not traded. Bubba Chandler, Konnor Griffin, Braxton Ashcraft, and Thomas Harrington were not moved. This hurts the depth of the Pirates minor league system, but the top end is still filled with decent players. The last justification for making these trades is that I do not believe a lot of the players traded will make a huge impact at the major league level. Henry Davis has struggled at the majors. Nick Gonzales had a fine 2024 season, but as a second baseman with only 7 home runs, he seemed to be easily replaceable. I was not high on Termarr Johnson during his draft year even though scouts thought he had a 70 Hit Tool. We have slowly watched that hit tool decrease to a 55 currently. The Pirates would be in a great spot to contend in 2025 with these trades while not destroying their future too much. If the Pirates stay conservative and not make any big trades now, they will be mediocre in 2025, and they will be mediocre in 2028 and beyond as well, because of the lack of star players in the system. I would be okay with this team having a better chance to compete in 2025-27 while potentially struggling a little more in 2028 and beyond, because I think if they stay conservative now, they will be mediocre in 2028 anyways. Doing nothing this offseason will result in mediocrity for the next 10 years, so it makes sense to push a lot of chips in to compete the next 2-3 years. The time is now to give this city a team to be passionate about.

Pirates New Top 10 Prospects After Trades

1. RHP Bubba Chandler
2. RHP Thomas Harrington
3. SS Konnor Griffin
4. RHP Braxton Ashcraft
5. RHP Levi Starling
6. SS Wyatt Sanford
7. LHP Michael Kennedy
8. RHP Mike Burrows
9. LHP Josh Hartle
10. SS Yordany De Los Santos

Summary of Moves

- Jalen Beeks
- Ryan Borucki
- Tsung-Che Cheng
- Henry Davis
- Bryan De La Cruz
- Marco Gonzales
- Nick Gonzales
- Yasmani Grandal
- Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Ben Heller
- Daulton Jefferies
- Connor Joe
- Isaac Mattson
- Kyle Nicolas
- Johan Oviedo
- Dennis Santana
- Joey Wentz
- Alika Williams
- Hunter Stratton
+ Trevor Bauer
+ Matthew Boyd
+ Kendall Graveman
+ Paul Goldschmidt
+ Jose Iglesias
+ Mason Miller
+ Luis Robert Jr.
+ Brent Rooker
+ Gio Urshela

Rule 5 Eligible Players/Other Internal Players to Add to 40-Man Roster

RHP Bubba Chandler
Chandler is added in order to be put on the opening day roster. He helps round out the Pirates incredible 6 man rotation.

RHP Thomas Harrington
Harrington will start the season in the top of the rotation in Triple-A and will be an option to start games or be a relief option in the second half of the season.

C Carter Bins
C Wyatt Hendrie
OF Matt Gorski
1B Malcolm Nunez

The Pirates do not have any elite prospects they had to protect, so it made sense to protect their catching depth. Even though Bins and Hendrie likely won't impact the MLB club, it was important to maintain some catching continuity in the minor leagues. Gorski had 23 homers with Triple-A Indy in 2024, and the Pirates are desperate to add power to the MLB club, so he was protected. With Nunez's ability to play 1B, he was protected because the Pirates do not have a long-term plan at 1B just yet.

Opening Day 40-Man Roster

SPPaul Skenes
SPJared Jones
SPMitch Keller
SPTrevor Bauer
SPMatthew Boyd
SPBubba Chandler
LRLuis Ortiz
RPBailey Falter
RPColin Holderman
RPDavid Bednar
SUAroldis Chapman
SUKendall Graveman
CLMason Miller
CJoey Bart
1BPaul Goldschmidt
2BJose Iglesias
3BGio Urshela
SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa
LFBryan Reynolds
CFOneil Cruz
RFLuis Robert Jr.
DHBrent Rooker
CEndy Rodriguez
IFLiover Peguero
OFAndrew McCutchen
UTLJared Triolo
mBraxton Ashcraft
mJi Hwan Bae
mCarter Bins
mMike Burrows
mBilly Cook
mJason Delay
mMatt Gorski
mThomas Harrington
mWyatt Hendrie
mCarmen Mlodzinski
mDauri Moreta
mMalcom Nunez
mJoshua Palacios
mJack Suwinski

26 Man Opening Day Roster + Salaries (in millions)

SPPaul Skenes0.76TOTAL
SPJared Jones0.7699.810083
SPMitch Keller15.4
SPTrevor Bauer0.76
SPMatthew Boyd3.5
SPBubba Chandler0.76
LRLuis Ortiz0.76
RPBailey Falter2.5
RPColin Holderman1.35
RPDavid Bednar5.25
SUAroldis Chapman6
SUKendall Graveman4
CLMason Miller0.76
CJoey Bart1.75
1BPaul Goldschmidt11.5
2BJose Iglesias3
3BGio Urshela3
SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa6.283
LFBryan Reynolds13.34375
CFOneil Cruz0.76
RFLuis Robert Jr.8.333333
DHBrent Rooker4
CEndy Rodriguez0.76
IFLiover Peguero0.76
OFAndrew McCutchen3
UTLJared Triolo0.76

Opening Day Lineup

1. R Jose Iglesias, 2B
2. S Bryan Reynolds, LF
3. R Paul Goldschmidt, 1B
4. R Brent Rooker, DH
5. L Oneil Cruz, CF
6. R Luis Robert, Jr., RF
7. R Joey Bart, C
8. R Gio Urshela, 3B
9. R Isiah Kiner-Falefa, SS
SP: R Paul Skenes
7th Inning: L Aroldis Chapman
8th Inning: R Kendall Graveman
9th Inning: R Mason Miller



Monday, September 30, 2024

2024 MLB Playoff Predictions


Below are my playoff predictions for the 2024 MLB postseason.


Wild Card

NL

(4) Padres over (5) Braves in 3 games 

(6) Mets over (3) Brewers in 3 games


AL

(5) Royals defeat (4) Orioles in 3 games

(3) Astros over (6) Tigers in 3 games


Division Series

NL

(2) Phillies over (6) Mets in 4 games

(4) Padres over (1) Dodgers in 4 games

AL

(2) Guardians over (6) Tigers in 4 games

(1) Yankees over (5) Royals in 4 games


Championship Series

NL

(2) Phillies over (4) Padres in 6 games

AL

(1) Yankees over (2) Guardians in 7 games


World Series

(2) Phillies over (2) Yankees in 6 games

World Series MVP: Trea Turner

2024 MLB Awards


Below are what I believe the 2024 MLB Awards should look like. This is not a prediction, and instead this is what I think should happen.

All MLB First Team

C: William Conteras, Milwaukee Brewers
1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays
2B: Ketel Marte, Arizona Diamondbacks
3B: Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians
SS: Bobby Witt Jr., Kansas City Royals
OF: Aaron Judge, New York Yankees
OF: Juan Soto, New York Yankees
OF: Teoscar Hernandez, Los Angeles Dodgers
DH: Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers
SP: Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers
SP: Chris Sale, Atlanta Braves
SP: Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies
SP: Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates
SP: Framber Valdez, Houston Astros
RP: Emmanuel Clase, Cleveland Guardians
RP: Kirby Yates, Texas Rangers



All MLB Second Team

C: Salvador Perez, Kansas City Royals
1B: Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies
2B: Jose Altuve, Houston Astros
3B: Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox
SS: Gunnar Henderson, Baltimore Orioles
OF: Jarren Duran, Boston Red Sox
OF: Jackson Merrill, San Diego Padres
OF: Seiya Suzuki, Chicago Cubs
DH: Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros
SP: Shota Imanaga, Chicago Cubs
SP: Bryce Miller, Seattle Mariners
SP: Seth Lugo, Kansas City Royals
SP: Corbin Burnes, Baltimore Orioles
SP: Logan Gilbert, Seattle Mariners
RP: Ryan Helsley, St. Louis Cardinals
RP: Raisel Iglesias, Atlanta Braves

Rookie of the Year

AL: Luis Gil, New York Yankees
NL: Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates

Cy Young

AL: Tarik Skubal, Detroit Tigers
NL: Chris Sale, Atlanta Braves

MVP

AL: Aaron Judge, New York Yankees
NL: Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers

Saturday, July 13, 2024

2024 MLB Mock Draft


Below is my Mock Draft for the 2024 MLB Draft. All picks made are what I think should happen, and not what I think what will happen. The purpose is to come back to this post 5-10 years from now and see how well each of my picks turned out.


1. Cleveland Guardians: Travis Bazzana, 2B, Oregon State

2. Cincinnati Reds: Charlie Condon, OF, Georgia

3. Colorado Rockies: Nick Kurtz, 1B, Wake Forest

4. Oakland Athletics: Chase Burns, RHP, Wake Forest

5. Chicago White Sox: Jac Caglione, 1B/LHP, Florida

6. Kansas City Royals: Hagen Smith, LHP, Arkansas

7. St. Louis Cardinals: JJ Wetherholt, 2B, West Virginia

8. Los Angeles Angels: Bryce Rainer, SS, Harvard-Westlake (CA)

9. Pittsburgh Pirates: Tommy White, 1B, LSU

10. Washington Nationals: Christian Moore, 2B, Tennessee

11. Detroit Tigers: James Tibbs, OF, Florida State

12. Boston Red Sox: Konnor Griffin, SS, Jackson Prep (MS)

13. San Francisco Giants: Braden Montgomery, OF, Texas A&M

14. Chicago Cubs: Trey Yesavage, RHP, East Carolina

15. Seattle Mariners: Cam Caminiti, LHP, Saguaro (AZ)

16. Miami Marlins: Carson Benge, OF, Oklahoma State

17. Milwaukee Brewers: Ryan Sloan, RHP, York (IL)

18. Tampa Bay Rays: Kash Mayfield, LHP, Elk City (OK)

19. New York Mets: Cam Smith, 3B, Florida State

20. Toronto Blue Jays: Theo Gillen, 2B, Westlake (TX)

21. Minnesota Twins: William Schmidt, RHP, Catholic (LA)

22. Baltimore Orioles: Seaver King, OF, Wake Forest

23. Los Angeles Dodgers: Carter Johnson, SS, Oxford (AL)

24. Atlanta Braves: Dylan Doughty, RHP, Chaparral (CA)

25. San Diego Padres: Slade Caldwell, OF, Valley View (AR)

26. New York Yankees: Dakota Jordan, OF, Mississippi State

27. Philadelphia Phillies: Jonathan Santucci, LHP, Duke

28. Houston Astros: Brody Brecht, RHP, Iowa

29. Arizona Diamondbacks: Kaelen Culpepper, SS, Kansas State

30. Texas Rangers: Caleb Lomavita, C, California

Friday, July 12, 2024

What Should the 2024 MLB All-Star Game Starting Lineups Look Like?


 

Below are the lineups I believe to consist of the most deserving players for the 2024 MLB All Star Game.






National League



SP Paul Skenes, Pittsburgh Pirates
1. Shohei Ohtani, DH, Los Angeles Dodgers
2. Fernando Tatis Jr., RF, San Diego Padres
3. Christian Yelich, CF, Milwaukee Brewers
4. Bryce Harper, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies
5. Alec Bohm, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies
6. Ketel Marte, 2B, Arizona Diamondbacks
7. CJ Abrams, SS, Washington Nationals
8. William Contreras, C, Milwaukee Brewers
9. Jurickson Profar, LF, San Diego Padres


American League



SP Tarik Subal, Detroit Tigers
1. Jose Altuve, 2B, Houston Astros
2. Juan Soto, RF, New York Yankees
3. Aaron Judge, CF, New York Yankees
4. Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston Red Sox
5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 1B, Toronto Blue Jays
6. Yordan Alvarez, DH, Houston Astros
7. Bobby Witt Jr., SS, Kansas City Royals
8. Salvador Perez, C, Kansas City Royals
9. Steven Kwan, LF, Cleveland Guardians

Wednesday, March 27, 2024

2024 MLB Predictions




Below are all my team predictions and awards predictions for the 2024 MLB Season. 


MLB Regular Season

NL East Winner: (1) Atlanta Braves

NL Central Winner: (3) St. Louis Cardinals

NL West Winner: (2) Los Angeles Dodgers

NL Wild Cards: (4) Philadelphia Phillies, (5) Arizona Diamondbacks, (6) San Diego Padres

AL East Winner: (2) Baltimore Orioles

AL Central Winner: (3) Cleveland Guardians

AL West Winner: (1) Houston Astros

AL Wild Cards: (4) Texas Rangers, (5) New York Yankees, (6) Seattle Mariners


MLB Post Season

Wild Card Series

(3) St. Louis Cardinals over the (6) San Diego Padres, 2-1

(4) Philadelphia Phillies over the (5) Arizona Diamondbacks, 2-0


(6) Seattle Mariners over the (3) Cleveland Guardians, 2-0

(4) Texas Rangers over the (5) New York Yankees, 2-1


Division Series


(1) Atlanta Braves over the (4) Philadelphia Phillies, 3-2

(2) Los Angeles Dodgers over the (3) St. Louis Cardinals, 3-0


(4) Texas Rangers over the (1) Houston Astros, 3-2

(6) Seattle Mariners over the (2) Baltimore Orioles, 3-2 


Championship Series


(1) Atlanta Braves over the (2) Los Angeles Dodgers, 4-2

(4) Texas Rangers over the (6) Seattle Mariners, 4-2


World Series

(1) Atlanta Braves over the (4) Texas Rangers, 4-2

Awards

MVP

NL: Ronald Acuña Jr., RF, Atlanta Braves

AL: Julio Rodriguez, CF, Seattle Mariners


Cy Young

NL: Spencer Strider, RHP, Atlanta Braves

AL: Luis Castillo, RHP, Seattle Mariners

ROY

NL: Jackson Merrill, CF, San Diego Padres

AL: Wyatt Langford, DH, Texas Rangers


Manager of the Year

NL: Oliver Marmol, St. Louis Cardinals

AL: Stephen Vogt, Cleveland Guardians


Reliever of the Year

NL: Camilo Doval, RHP, San Francisco Giants

AL:  Emmanuel Clase, RHP, Cleveland Guardians


All-MLB Teams

First Team

C: Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Orioles

1B: Freddie Freeman, Los Angeles Dodgers

2B: Jose Altuve, Houston Astros

3B: Alex Bregman, Houston Astros

SS: Corey Seager, Texas Rangers

OF: Ronald Acuña Jr., Atlanta Braves

OF: Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners

OF: Juan Soto, New York Yankees

DH: Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros

SP: Spencer Strider, Atlanta Braves

SP: Luis Castillo, Seattle Mariners

SP: Corbin Burnes, Baltimore Orioles

SP: Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies

SP: Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants

RP: Emmanuel Clase, Cleveland Guardians

RP: Camilo Doval, San Francisco Giants


Second Team

C: JT Realmuto, Philadelphia Phillies

1B: Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies

2B: Marcus Semien, Texas Rangers

3B: Austin Riley, Atlanta Braves

SS: Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers

OF: Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels

OF: Aaron Judge, New York Yankees

OF: Fernando Tatis, Jr., San Diego Padres

DH: Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers

SP: Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays

SP: Framber Valdez, Houston Astros

SP: Zac Gallen, Arizona Diamondbacks

SP: George Kirby, Seattle Mariners

SP: Jesus Luzardo, Miami Marlins

RP: Josh Hader, Houston Astros

RP: Andres Muñoz, Seattle Mariners

Tuesday, November 7, 2023

2023-24 MLB Free Agent Predictions

 







UPDATE AS OFFSEASON GOES ON:

  • Correct Team prediction will be highlighted in Green, Incorrect Team prediction will be highlighted in Red.
  • +/- 1 year of actual length of contract will be highlighted in Green. +/- of 2 or more years of actual length will be highlighted in Red.
  • Club/Player/Vesting Options will not be included in my predicted contract length.
  • +/- $5M or less in Average Annual Value will be highlighted in Green. +/- $5.01M or more will be highlighted in Red.
  • The Buyout amount for Team Options will be included in the Average Annual Value. I will be using the Luxury Tax salary.


Projected Available Free Agents (after Club Options/Player Options/Mutual Options)

Top 10


1. Shohei Ohtani, RHP/DH, Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers, 11 years/$500.5M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 10 years/$700M

2. Josh Hader, LHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Texas Rangers, 6 years/$106.5M
Actual: Houston Astros, 5 years/$95M

3. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, RHP, Japan
Prediction: San Francisco Giants, 8 years/$200M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 12 years/$325M

4. Aaron Nola, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals, 6 years/$164M
Actual: Philadelphia Phillies, 7 years/$172M

5. Blake Snell, LHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks, 6 years/$174M
Actual: San Francisco Giants, 2 years/$62M

6. JD Martinez, DH, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers: 2 years/$36M
Actual: New York Mets, 1 year/$12M

7. Sonny Gray, RHP, Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Atlanta Braves, 3 years/$81M
Actual: St. Louis Cardinals, 3 years/$75M

8. Justin Turner, IF/DH, Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Seattle Mariners, 1 year/$14M
Actual: Toronto Blue Jays, 1 year/$13M

9. Jordan Montgomery, LHP, Texas Rangers
Prediction: Boston Red Sox, 6 years/$132M
Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks, 1 year/$25M

10. Cody Bellinger, 1B/OF, Chicago Cubs
Prediction: New York Yankees, 6 years/$156M
Actual: Chicago Cubs, 3 years/$80M


Other



Lucas Giolito, RHP, Cleveland Guardians
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles, 1 year/$15M
Actual: Boston Red Sox, 2 years/$38.5M

Marcus Stroman, RHP, Chicago Cubs
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies, 3 years/$66M
Actual: New York Yankees, 2 years/$37M

Jack Flaherty, RHP, Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Cleveland Guardians, 1 year/$13M
Actual: Detroit Tigers, 1 year/$14M

Hector Neris, RHP, Houston Astros
Prediction: San Diego Padres, 2 years/$30M
Actual: Chicago Cubs, 1 year/$9M

Luis Severino, RHP, New York Yankees
Prediction: Detroit Tigers, 1 year/$10M
Actual: New York Mets, 1 year/$13M

Michael Wacha, RHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: New York Yankees, 2 years/$30M
Actual: Kansas City Royals, 1 year/$16M

Kenta Maeda, RHP, Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels, 2 years/$25M
Actual: Detroit Tigers, 2 years/$24M

Seth Lugo, RHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Minnesota Twins, 3 years/$48M
Actual: Kansas City Royals, 2 years/$30M

Eduardo Rodriguez, LHP, Detroit Tigers
Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals, 4 years/$72M
Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks, 4 years/$80M

Shoto Imanaga, LHP, Japan
Prediction: Cincinatti Reds, 5 years/$75M
Actual: Chicago Cubs, 2 years/$26.5M

Clayton Kershaw, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers, 1 year/$10M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 1 year/$5M

Aroldis Chapman, LHP, Texas Rangers 
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles, 1 year/$14M
Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$10.5M

Mitch Garver, C, Texas Rangers
Prediction: San Diego Padres, 3 years/$36M
Actual: Seattle Mariners, 2 years/$24M

Rhys Hoskins, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Colorado Rockies, 1 year/$14M
Actual: Milwaukee Brewers, 1 year/$12M

Brandon Belt, 1B/DH, Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$11M
Actual: Unsigned on OD

Joey Votto, 1B, Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays, 1 year/$5M
Actual: Toronto Blue Jays, Minor League Contract

Matt Chapman, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Chicago Cubs, 5 years/$110M
Actual: San Francisco Giants, 1 year/$18M

Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Chicago Cubs
Prediction: San Francisco Giants, 2 years/$32M
Actual: Cincinnati Reds, 3 years/$45M

Tim Anderson, SS, Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Miami Marlins, 1 year/$6M
Actual: Miami Marlins, 1 year/$5M

Jung Hoo Lee, CF, South Korea
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays, 5 years/$65M
Actual: San Francisco Giants, 4 years/$73.33M

Lourdes Gurriel Jr., OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Seattle Mariners, 3 years/$48M
Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks, 2 years/$28M

Teoscar Hernandez, OF, Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Miami Marlins, 3 years/$54M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 1 year/$23.5M

Tommy Pham, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels, 1 year/$8M
Actual: Unsigned on OD

Michael Brantley, OF/DH, Houston Astros
Prediction: Houston Astros, 1 year/$7.5M
Actual: Retired

Andrew McCutchen, OF/DH, Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$4M
Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$5M