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I am a 2021 graduate from Saint Vincent College where I majored in Business Management and minored in Data Analytics, Marketing, and Economics. I was a 4-year member of the Varsity Baseball Team playing as a Pitcher and Infielder. I am currently working as a Risk Data Analyst for Alliant Insurance Services in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. My passion and long term goal has always been working professionally in baseball. I have a deep understanding of the game of baseball because of my time as a two-way player at the college level, my time as a Baseball Operations Intern with the Washington Wild Things in 2020, and my time as a Coach for the Guardian Angels 12U/15U Baseball Team stationed in Canonsburg, PA. I am confident in my current abilities but am open to listening to and learning alternative perspectives on different baseball and analytics topics. I have created this blog to help get my ideas out there and to help showcase my knowledge of professional baseball.

Tuesday, November 7, 2023

2023-24 MLB Free Agent Predictions

 







UPDATE AS OFFSEASON GOES ON:

  • Correct Team prediction will be highlighted in Green, Incorrect Team prediction will be highlighted in Red.
  • +/- 1 year of actual length of contract will be highlighted in Green. +/- of 2 or more years of actual length will be highlighted in Red.
  • Club/Player/Vesting Options will not be included in my predicted contract length.
  • +/- $5M or less in Average Annual Value will be highlighted in Green. +/- $5.01M or more will be highlighted in Red.
  • The Buyout amount for Team Options will be included in the Average Annual Value. I will be using the Luxury Tax salary.


Projected Available Free Agents (after Club Options/Player Options/Mutual Options)

Top 10


1. Shohei Ohtani, RHP/DH, Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers, 11 years/$500.5M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 10 years/$700M

2. Josh Hader, LHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Texas Rangers, 6 years/$106.5M
Actual: Houston Astros, 5 years/$95M

3. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, RHP, Japan
Prediction: San Francisco Giants, 8 years/$200M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 12 years/$325M

4. Aaron Nola, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals, 6 years/$164M
Actual: Philadelphia Phillies, 7 years/$172M

5. Blake Snell, LHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks, 6 years/$174M
Actual: San Francisco Giants, 2 years/$62M

6. JD Martinez, DH, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers: 2 years/$36M
Actual: New York Mets, 1 year/$12M

7. Sonny Gray, RHP, Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Atlanta Braves, 3 years/$81M
Actual: St. Louis Cardinals, 3 years/$75M

8. Justin Turner, IF/DH, Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Seattle Mariners, 1 year/$14M
Actual: Toronto Blue Jays, 1 year/$13M

9. Jordan Montgomery, LHP, Texas Rangers
Prediction: Boston Red Sox, 6 years/$132M
Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks, 1 year/$25M

10. Cody Bellinger, 1B/OF, Chicago Cubs
Prediction: New York Yankees, 6 years/$156M
Actual: Chicago Cubs, 3 years/$80M


Other



Lucas Giolito, RHP, Cleveland Guardians
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles, 1 year/$15M
Actual: Boston Red Sox, 2 years/$38.5M

Marcus Stroman, RHP, Chicago Cubs
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies, 3 years/$66M
Actual: New York Yankees, 2 years/$37M

Jack Flaherty, RHP, Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Cleveland Guardians, 1 year/$13M
Actual: Detroit Tigers, 1 year/$14M

Hector Neris, RHP, Houston Astros
Prediction: San Diego Padres, 2 years/$30M
Actual: Chicago Cubs, 1 year/$9M

Luis Severino, RHP, New York Yankees
Prediction: Detroit Tigers, 1 year/$10M
Actual: New York Mets, 1 year/$13M

Michael Wacha, RHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: New York Yankees, 2 years/$30M
Actual: Kansas City Royals, 1 year/$16M

Kenta Maeda, RHP, Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels, 2 years/$25M
Actual: Detroit Tigers, 2 years/$24M

Seth Lugo, RHP, San Diego Padres
Prediction: Minnesota Twins, 3 years/$48M
Actual: Kansas City Royals, 2 years/$30M

Eduardo Rodriguez, LHP, Detroit Tigers
Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals, 4 years/$72M
Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks, 4 years/$80M

Shoto Imanaga, LHP, Japan
Prediction: Cincinatti Reds, 5 years/$75M
Actual: Chicago Cubs, 2 years/$26.5M

Clayton Kershaw, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers, 1 year/$10M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 1 year/$5M

Aroldis Chapman, LHP, Texas Rangers 
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles, 1 year/$14M
Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$10.5M

Mitch Garver, C, Texas Rangers
Prediction: San Diego Padres, 3 years/$36M
Actual: Seattle Mariners, 2 years/$24M

Rhys Hoskins, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Colorado Rockies, 1 year/$14M
Actual: Milwaukee Brewers, 1 year/$12M

Brandon Belt, 1B/DH, Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$11M
Actual: Unsigned on OD

Joey Votto, 1B, Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays, 1 year/$5M
Actual: Toronto Blue Jays, Minor League Contract

Matt Chapman, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Chicago Cubs, 5 years/$110M
Actual: San Francisco Giants, 1 year/$18M

Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Chicago Cubs
Prediction: San Francisco Giants, 2 years/$32M
Actual: Cincinnati Reds, 3 years/$45M

Tim Anderson, SS, Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Miami Marlins, 1 year/$6M
Actual: Miami Marlins, 1 year/$5M

Jung Hoo Lee, CF, South Korea
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays, 5 years/$65M
Actual: San Francisco Giants, 4 years/$73.33M

Lourdes Gurriel Jr., OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Seattle Mariners, 3 years/$48M
Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks, 2 years/$28M

Teoscar Hernandez, OF, Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Miami Marlins, 3 years/$54M
Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers, 1 year/$23.5M

Tommy Pham, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels, 1 year/$8M
Actual: Unsigned on OD

Michael Brantley, OF/DH, Houston Astros
Prediction: Houston Astros, 1 year/$7.5M
Actual: Retired

Andrew McCutchen, OF/DH, Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$4M
Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates, 1 year/$5M
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